Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.188915 0.217366 0.249830 0.289868 0.338264 0.395315 0.468313
2025-06-01 0.143128 0.178905 0.224304 0.287199 0.373790 0.491457 0.668219
2025-06-08 0.115725 0.153253 0.204612 0.282163 0.400236 0.580312 0.890901
2025-06-15 0.101198 0.140413 0.197515 0.290255 0.444477 0.705834 1.220739
2025-06-22 0.087524 0.125774 0.184163 0.284545 0.463748 0.795333 1.529151
2025-06-29 0.078807 0.116867 0.177504 0.287395 0.497248 0.920506 1.975878
2025-07-06 0.070737 0.107634 0.168533 0.283903 0.517386 1.025729 2.441411
2025-07-13 0.065586 0.102345 0.165176 0.289637 0.556999 1.188159 3.174292
2025-07-20 0.061381 0.098034 0.162749 0.296451 0.600664 1.378872 4.159588
2025-07-27 0.057666 0.094068 0.160280 0.302548 0.644445 1.590599 5.442900
2025-08-03 0.054674 0.091008 0.159016 0.310854 0.696195 1.852179 7.271036
2025-08-10 0.051455 0.087146 0.155628 0.313743 0.735018 2.095954 9.406194
2025-08-17 0.048324 0.083193 0.151686 0.315010 0.771367 2.359493 12.211722
2025-08-24 0.045223 0.078994 0.146738 0.313061 0.798585 2.611174 15.589774
2025-08-31 0.042175 0.074601 0.140845 0.307702 0.814149 2.830052 19.397146
2025-09-07 0.040573 0.072928 0.140592 0.316790 0.879819 3.324592 27.832461
2025-09-14 0.037994 0.069021 0.134929 0.310437 0.891339 3.572570 34.755928
2025-09-21 0.036312 0.066819 0.132862 0.313619 0.938652 4.057306 48.435761
2025-09-28 0.034323 0.063798 0.128563 0.309726 0.958623 4.411550 63.136255
2025-10-05 0.033127 0.062361 0.127825 0.316122 1.022175 5.116499 95.153956
2025-10-12 0.032079 0.061153 0.127491 0.323726 1.094778 5.990185 151.044577
2025-10-19 0.031055 0.059906 0.126918 0.330535 1.167856 6.991354 247.922518
2025-10-26 0.030214 0.058995 0.127082 0.339817 1.257801 8.312303 449.677574